Tuesday, June 06, 2017

The YouGov Model for UK Election 2017

Well. With all the brou-ha-ha in the UK over today's YouGov poll. Which suggests. Completely against the grain. That the Tories will actually lose seats on June 8. I thought I'd be fair and offer the 'science' behind the YouGov polling. From the very lips of their chief political scientist.
To be honest, I lost interest after "This model is then used to estimate the probability that a voter with specified characteristics will vote Conservative, Labour, or some other party."
Sigh. Why not just walk down a bloody street and ask people how they're going to bloody vote? When did this all become so complicated?